NBA 2025-2026: San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

San Antonio Spurs

Home Team
64.2%
113.5 pts
VS

Milwaukee Bucks

Away Team
35.8%
105.9 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The San Antonio Spurs are predicted to emerge victorious against the Milwaukee Bucks with a probability of 64.2%. The expected scoreline suggests a Spurs win with 113.5 points to the Bucks' 105.9. The Spurs' starting five will likely feature De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama, while the Bucks are expected to start Ryan Rollins, A.J. Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Myles Turner.

Game Analysis

Both teams have been on a rollercoaster ride over their last three games. The San Antonio Spurs recently broke a two-game losing streak with a close win against the Boston Celtics, indicating their potential to bounce back despite previous losses to the Thunder and Timberwolves. The Bucks, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, evident in their recent heavy loss to the Timberwolves and a narrow loss to the Nuggets, though they managed a narrow victory over the Lakers. Looking at the starting lineups, the Spurs have a balanced offensive and defensive rating across their starters, with Victor Wembanyama standing out with an impressive offensive rating of 116.2 and a notably strong defensive rating of 101.2, coupled with an average of 24 points per game. The Bucks rely heavily on Giannis Antetokounmpo, whose offensive prowess is unmatched with a rating of 133.7 and contributes an average of over 29 points per game. However, the Bucks' overall defensive ratings might be a concern, especially with their recent performances.

Final Prediction

The Spurs have a slight edge due to their balanced team performance and the standout defensive capabilities of Victor Wembanyama. The Bucks' reliance on Giannis Antetokounmpo's scoring might not be enough unless the rest of the team steps up defensively. A key factor to watch will be how the Spurs manage to contain Giannis while maximizing their offensive opportunities against a vulnerable Bucks defense.