NBA 2025-2026: Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Houston Rockets

Home Team
77.8%
122.4 pts
VS

New Orleans Pelicans

Away Team
22.2%
107.5 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Houston Rockets are predicted to emerge victorious against the New Orleans Pelicans with a probability of 77.8%. The expected scoreline favors the Rockets with 122.4 points to the Pelicans' 107.5. The Rockets' starting five includes Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, and Alperen Şengün. The Pelicans will counter with Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen.

Game Analysis

Over their last three games, the Houston Rockets have shown a solid performance with two wins against the Minnesota Timberwolves and Chicago Bulls, although they stumbled against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Key players like Kevin Durant, with an impressive offensive rating of 126.9, have been pivotal in these victories. The Rockets' starting lineup boasts a strong average offensive rating, which complements their ability to consistently put up high scores. In contrast, the New Orleans Pelicans have faced a tougher stretch, securing only one win against the Brooklyn Nets while suffering losses to the Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets. Zion Williamson remains a critical component for the Pelicans, with an average of 22.6 points per game and a solid offensive rating of 122.9. However, the Pelicans' defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as seen in their recent performances where they allowed over 120 points in two of their last three games.

Final Prediction

The Houston Rockets have an edge due to their potent offensive lineup and recent momentum, making them the favorites in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be the performance of Kevin Durant, whose scoring ability could be crucial in exploiting the Pelicans' defensive weaknesses. The Rockets' cohesive play and higher average offensive ratings position them well to capitalize on the Pelicans' defensive struggles.