NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans
Home Team
53.0%
116.7 pts
VS
Memphis Grizzlies
Away Team
47.0%
116.2 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Memphis Grizzlies is expected to tilt slightly in favor of the Pelicans, with a 53.0% probability of victory. The predicted score is a nail-bitingly close 116.7 to 116.2, reflecting the competitive nature of both teams. The Pelicans' starting five will feature Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are set to start with Cam Spencer, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Jock Landale.
Game Analysis
Recent performances show the Pelicans splitting their last three games, with a notable victory over the Grizzlies (133-127) and a win against the Spurs, but suffering a loss to the Thunder. This suggests a team capable of high scoring, especially when considering Trey Murphy III and Zion Williamson's offensive prowess, averaging 21.9 and 22 points respectively. Their offensive ratings are notably high, with Williamson at 121.3, indicating a strong ability to convert possessions into points. However, the Pelicans must shore up their defense, as seen in the ratings of players like Herbert Jones and Derik Queen.
The Grizzlies, on the other hand, are on a three-game losing streak, including their recent loss to the Pelicans. Despite this, they boast individual talent like Cam Spencer, whose offensive rating of 131.2, paired with Jock Landale's 124.4, highlights their potential to break through defenses. Defensive challenges exist, as shown by their recent performance against the Hornets and Rockets, where they conceded over 100 points. Jaren Jackson Jr. remains a crucial figure, both defensively and offensively, with his ability to influence both ends of the court.
Final Prediction
The Pelicans have a slight edge due to their recent win against the Grizzlies and their strong offensive lineup, particularly with the scoring abilities of Murphy III and Williamson. However, the Grizzlies' potential to score in bursts, spearheaded by Spencer and Landale, should not be underestimated. A key factor to watch is the defensive efforts of both teams, as their ability to limit the opponent's scoring will likely determine the outcome.