Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Marcos Giron

Rank: #50
44%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #20
56%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player Metrics

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 36.6
ELO Rating: 1126.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 78.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.1
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.4

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 42.9
ELO Rating: 1358.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1698.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Marcos Giron

  • Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Brussels 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Tabilo (0-2) hard Shanghai 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (1-2) hard Tokio 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) hard Chengdu 132 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Chengdu 103 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Shanghai 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Shanghai 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Beijing 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) hard Beijing 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marcos Giron
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Brussels tournament, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to face Marcos Giron on hard courts. With a predicted win probability of 55.66% for Davidovich Fokina compared to 44.34% for Giron, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Both players exhibit notable differences in their rankings, with Davidovich Fokina sitting significantly higher at 20 compared to Giron's 50. The form index also favors Davidovich Fokina, who has a score of 42.91 against Giron's 36.58. This is echoed in their Elo ratings; Davidovich Fokina holds a rating of 1358.73, while Giron trails at 1126.51. Fatigue levels are another factor, with Giron experiencing 78 minutes of cumulative fatigue from the tournament, while Davidovich Fokina comes in fresh with zero minutes. The surface strength index is marginally in favor of Davidovich Fokina (10.61) versus Giron's 10.14. Notably, Giron has a superior mean serve index (97.11) compared to Davidovich Fokina's 94.69, but the return indices are close, with Giron at 86.44 and Davidovich Fokina at 87.33. Looking at their recent performances, Giron triumphed in his last match against Mattia Bellucci, winning in straight sets. However, prior to that, he faced defeats against Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Korda. Davidovich Fokina, on the other hand, lost to Daniil Medvedev in his last outing but had a solid win against Matteo Arnaldi just before that. His earlier performance against Medvedev also resulted in a loss, indicating some inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Davidovich Fokina has the advantage due to a higher ranking, better recent form, and the benefit of being less fatigued entering the match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Giron can leverage his superior serving capabilities against Davidovich Fokina's strong return game, as this could sway momentum in a tightly contested match.