Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 32

Nuno Borges vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Nuno Borges

Rank: #40
40%
VS

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #25
60%
Expected Total Games: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

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Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 67.8
ELO Rating: 1415.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1609.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 12.0
Grass: 10.7
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.3

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 73.8
ELO Rating: 1546.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 14.9
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges

Alexei Popyrin

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nuno Borges
vs
0
Alexei Popyrin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The clash between Nuno Borges and Alexei Popyrin in the Round of 32 at Roland Garros promises to be an intriguing encounter on the clay surface. With Popyrin being favored to win at a probability of 60.10% compared to Borges' 39.90%, a competitive match is expected, projected to feature around 38 total games played.

Match Analysis

Nuno Borges, ranked 40th, has a form index of 67.83 and an Elo rating of 1415.03. While his cumulative fatigue stands at 348 minutes, he has a surface strength index of 11.98, which reflects a moderate proficiency on clay. His mean serve index of 96.53 indicates a solid serving capability, but his mean return index of 87.32 suggests room for improvement against tougher opponents. In contrast, Alexei Popyrin, ranked 25th, possesses a higher form index of 73.82 and an Elo rating of 1546.90, showcasing his stronger competitive edge. He also shares the same fatigue level of 348 minutes but has a superior surface strength index of 12.99. Popyrin's mean serve index is slightly better at 96.58, while his return index of 86.90 indicates a slight disadvantage in return capabilities. In their recent performances, Borges has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a hard-fought victory against Casper Ruud. However, he also suffered a loss to Sebastian Ofner in Geneva, which could affect his momentum. Popyrin, on the other hand, has displayed a stronger form recently, winning both of his last matches at Roland Garros without dropping a set, indicating he is in excellent competitive shape.

Final Prediction

Alexei Popyrin holds the edge in this matchup due to his superior ranking, form, and recent performances. A key factor to watch will be how each player handles their serve and return game, particularly Popyrin's slightly better serving statistics, which could prove pivotal on the clay surface.

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