Andorra
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #13 of 22 in Segunda División 58 pts · 16W–10D–16L · GD +8
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Andorra?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Andorra's results were 8.5% harder to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Andorra | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.6% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 54.0% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #13 | 1502 | 1587 | 1510 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #22 | 1564 | 1574 | 1439 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #9 | 1538 | 1572 | 1550 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | at Burgos | L Andorra 27.0% · draw 30.9% | L ✓ |
| May 24, 2026 | vs Ceuta | W Andorra 61.6% · draw 22.5% | L ✗ |
| May 17, 2026 | at La Coruna | L Andorra 17.8% · draw 25.9% | L ✓ |
| May 10, 2026 | vs Las Palmas | W Andorra 38.0% · draw 31.2% | W ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | vs Albacete | W Andorra 49.2% · draw 27.8% | L ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Leganes | L Andorra 32.8% · draw 31.2% | W ✗ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Valladolid | W Andorra 40.0% · draw 30.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Cadiz | W Andorra 38.0% · draw 29.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Santander | W Andorra 36.7% · draw 31.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | vs Malaga | W Andorra 35.5% · draw 31.4% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/andorra">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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