Sp Gijon
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #9 of 22 in Segunda División 61 pts · 18W–7D–17L · GD +6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sp Gijon?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sp Gijon's results were 1.0% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sp Gijon | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 67.6% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 67.6% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #11 | 1518 | 1555 | 1525 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #14 | 1500 | 1604 | 1490 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #8 | 1450 | 1609 | 1536 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #18 | 1456 | 1527 | 1448 |
| 2021-22 | Segunda División | #19 | 1526 | 1592 | 1439 |
| 2020-21 | Segunda División | #12 | 1512 | 1624 | 1510 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #16 | 1535 | 1567 | 1492 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #9 | 1545 | 1602 | 1542 |
| 2017-18 | Segunda División | #6 | 1502 | 1672 | 1556 |
| 2016-17 | La Liga | #17 | 1518 | 1538 | 1396 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #12 | 1498 | 1506 | 1463 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | at Granada | L Sp Gijon 28.6% · draw 30.5% | W ✗ |
| May 24, 2026 | vs Almeria | L Sp Gijon 30.7% · draw 29.2% | W ✗ |
| May 17, 2026 | at Zaragoza | L Sp Gijon 27.8% · draw 30.4% | W ✗ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Malaga | L Sp Gijon 30.0% · draw 30.9% | L ✓ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Ceuta | W Sp Gijon 61.1% · draw 23.0% | L ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Cordoba | L Sp Gijon 26.4% · draw 28.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Cadiz | W Sp Gijon 54.7% · draw 25.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Burgos | L Sp Gijon 24.2% · draw 30.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Sociedad B | W Sp Gijon 53.7% · draw 26.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | at Santander | L Sp Gijon 24.7% · draw 25.8% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sp-gijon">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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