Preston
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #14 of 24 in Championship 60 pts · 15W–15D–16L · GD -7
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Preston?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Preston's results were 1.8% harder to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.
| Market | Preston | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 43.9% | 45.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 61.0% | 51.0% |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% | 52.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Championship | #17 | 1502 | 1571 | 1441 |
| 2024-25 | Championship | #22 | 1429 | 1551 | 1426 |
| 2023-24 | Championship | #20 | 1472 | 1581 | 1433 |
| 2022-23 | Championship | #15 | 1514 | 1561 | 1461 |
| 2021-22 | Championship | #8 | 1486 | 1567 | 1512 |
| 2020-21 | Championship | #8 | 1459 | 1542 | 1542 |
| 2019-20 | Championship | #14 | 1467 | 1590 | 1479 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #16 | 1561 | 1642 | 1486 |
| 2017-18 | Championship | #7 | 1501 | 1583 | 1562 |
| 2016-17 | Championship | #17 | 1479 | 1592 | 1467 |
| 2015-16 | Championship | #11 | 1437 | 1565 | 1508 |
| 2014-15 | League One | #3 | 1570 | 1692 | 1652 |
| 2013-14 | League One | #5 | 1492 | 1646 | 1594 |
| 2012-13 | League One | #14 | 1443 | 1545 | 1493 |
| 2011-12 | League One | #19 | 1464 | 1606 | 1430 |
| 2010-11 | Championship | #19 | 1418 | 1447 | 1418 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #19 | 1581 | 1622 | 1431 |
| 2008-09 | Championship | #4 | 1543 | 1613 | 1609 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #11 | 1462 | 1583 | 1514 |
| 2006-07 | Championship | #14 | 1628 | 1665 | 1456 |
| 2005-06 | Championship | #2 | 1529 | 1669 | 1669 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | vs Southampton | L Preston 24.2% · draw 25.7% | L ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Sheffield United | L Preston 12.6% · draw 20.1% | W ✗ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | at Birmingham | L Preston 13.5% · draw 23.5% | L ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs West Brom | L Preston 31.6% · draw 30.0% | L ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Charlton | L Preston 31.7% · draw 33.0% | W ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs QPR | W Preston 35.5% · draw 31.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Leicester | L Preston 25.3% · draw 30.0% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Stoke | L Preston 34.3% · draw 31.1% | W ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Norwich | L Preston 14.5% · draw 20.7% | L ✓ |
| Mar 11, 2026 | at Coventry | L Preston 11.6% · draw 18.4% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Championship title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/preston">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/preston">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>