West Brom

Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1551 · #8 Championship 5W-2D-3L · 17 pts In line Updated Oct 14, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #7 of 24 68.2 expected pts · currently 17 pts after 10 matches

League title 1.2%
Promotion 9.7%
Automatic promotion 3.6%
Promotion playoffs 28.1%
Relegation 0.5%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Championship simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is West Brom?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, West Brom's results were 2.6% harder to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.

MarketWest BromLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 51.2% 45.9%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 48.8% 51.0%
Both teams to score 48.8% 52.4%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Championship #8 1512 1565 1551
2025-26 Championship #15 1518 1572 1466
2024-25 Championship #14 1564 1622 1485
2023-24 Championship #10 1498 1624 1539
2022-23 Championship #10 1502 1616 1520
2021-22 Championship #10 1569 1657 1499
2020-21 Premier League #19 1466 1466 1357
2019-20 Championship #5 1580 1702 1584
2018-19 Championship #5 1592 1653 1572
2017-18 Premier League #15 1518 1548 1425
2016-17 Premier League #16 1529 1551 1396
2015-16 Premier League #15 1466 1518 1420
2014-15 Premier League #10 1498 1517 1506
2009-10 Championship #2 1598 1694 1673
2007-08 Championship #1 1516 1646 1631
2006-07 Championship #9 1519 1639 1550

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 13, 2026 at Wrexham L West Brom 29.1% · draw 30.5% W ✗
Oct 10, 2026 vs Birmingham W West Brom 40.5% · draw 31.4% L ✗
Sep 20, 2026 at Wolves L West Brom 18.3% · draw 25.8% L ✓
Sep 12, 2026 vs QPR W West Brom 39.7% · draw 31.4% D ✗

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