West Brom
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #19 of 24 in Championship 53 pts · 13W–14D–19L · GD -10
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is West Brom?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, West Brom's results were 2.6% harder to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.
| Market | West Brom | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.2% | 45.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% | 51.0% |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% | 52.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Championship | #15 | 1518 | 1572 | 1466 |
| 2024-25 | Championship | #14 | 1564 | 1622 | 1485 |
| 2023-24 | Championship | #10 | 1498 | 1624 | 1539 |
| 2022-23 | Championship | #10 | 1502 | 1616 | 1520 |
| 2021-22 | Championship | #10 | 1569 | 1657 | 1499 |
| 2020-21 | Premier League | #19 | 1466 | 1466 | 1357 |
| 2019-20 | Championship | #5 | 1580 | 1702 | 1584 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #5 | 1592 | 1653 | 1572 |
| 2017-18 | Premier League | #15 | 1518 | 1548 | 1425 |
| 2016-17 | Premier League | #16 | 1529 | 1551 | 1396 |
| 2015-16 | Premier League | #15 | 1466 | 1518 | 1420 |
| 2014-15 | Premier League | #10 | 1498 | 1517 | 1506 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #2 | 1598 | 1694 | 1673 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #1 | 1516 | 1646 | 1631 |
| 2006-07 | Championship | #9 | 1519 | 1639 | 1550 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | at Sheffield Wednesday | W West Brom 67.4% · draw 16.8% | L ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Ipswich | L West Brom 31.0% · draw 30.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | vs Watford | W West Brom 44.4% · draw 30.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | at Preston | W West Brom 38.4% · draw 30.0% | W ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Millwall | W West Brom 46.4% · draw 29.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Blackburn | L West Brom 33.7% · draw 31.8% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Wrexham | W West Brom 47.2% · draw 28.9% | D ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Bristol City | W West Brom 35.8% · draw 31.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Hull | W West Brom 53.7% · draw 27.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vs Southampton | L West Brom 28.8% · draw 28.7% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/west-brom">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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