Rochdale

League Two · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1406 · #21 League Two 1W-0D-3L · 3 pts Updated Sep 01, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #20 of 24 54.6 expected pts · currently 3 pts after 4 matches

League title 0.1%
Promotion 1.7%
Automatic promotion 0.9%
Promotion playoffs 4.3%
Relegation 17.5%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full League Two simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Rochdale?

No reconciled predictions for this club yet. The record appears once the season's first predicted matches are played.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 League Two #21 1419 1419 1406
2022-23 League Two #21 1465 1465 1425
2021-22 League Two #15 1516 1564 1480
2020-21 League One #16 1441 1474 1466
2019-20 League One #12 1497 1497 1457
2018-19 League One #15 1545 1545 1469
2017-18 League One #10 1498 1520 1514
2016-17 League One #10 1499 1623 1533
2015-16 League One #8 1471 1563 1541
2014-15 League One #18 1351 1554 1434
2013-14 League Two #6 1539 1633 1552
2012-13 League Two #11 1461 1559 1509
2011-12 League One #24 1495 1499 1334
2010-11 League One #9 1496 1593 1526
2009-10 League Two #16 1468 1673 1455
2008-09 League Two #14 1571 1595 1459
2007-08 League Two #5 1561 1656 1592
2006-07 League Two #2 1438 1616 1614
2005-06 League Two #17 1529 1565 1454

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The League Two title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/rochdale">League Two title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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