York

League Two · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1449 · #17 League Two 2W-1D-1L · 7 pts Updated Sep 01, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #14 of 24 63.2 expected pts · currently 7 pts after 4 matches

League title 1.4%
Promotion 11.1%
Automatic promotion 7.5%
Promotion playoffs 18.0%
Relegation 2.6%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full League Two simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is York?

No reconciled predictions for this club yet. The record appears once the season's first predicted matches are played.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 League Two #17 1428 1467 1449
2015-16 League Two #22 1470 1471 1369
2014-15 League Two #13 1618 1618 1481
2013-14 League Two #1 1509 1649 1649
2012-13 League Two #15 1476 1546 1486

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The League Two title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/york">League Two title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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