QPR
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #15 of 24 in Championship 58 pts · 16W–10D–20L · GD -12
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is QPR?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, QPR's results were 0.3% easier to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.
| Market | QPR | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 39.0% | 45.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 51.0% |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% | 52.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Championship | #19 | 1498 | 1560 | 1423 |
| 2024-25 | Championship | #9 | 1498 | 1565 | 1501 |
| 2023-24 | Championship | #9 | 1391 | 1539 | 1539 |
| 2022-23 | Championship | #24 | 1442 | 1593 | 1384 |
| 2021-22 | Championship | #18 | 1553 | 1604 | 1449 |
| 2020-21 | Championship | #5 | 1456 | 1572 | 1572 |
| 2019-20 | Championship | #17 | 1452 | 1521 | 1451 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #21 | 1449 | 1553 | 1396 |
| 2017-18 | Championship | #17 | 1480 | 1522 | 1450 |
| 2016-17 | Championship | #21 | 1536 | 1567 | 1432 |
| 2015-16 | Championship | #9 | 1525 | 1587 | 1520 |
| 2014-15 | Premier League | #20 | 1471 | 1475 | 1366 |
| 2013-14 | Championship | #6 | 1585 | 1666 | 1565 |
| 2010-11 | Championship | #5 | 1507 | 1672 | 1590 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #15 | 1493 | 1589 | 1487 |
| 2008-09 | Championship | #15 | 1520 | 1580 | 1493 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #12 | 1484 | 1565 | 1506 |
| 2006-07 | Championship | #13 | 1373 | 1504 | 1476 |
| 2005-06 | Championship | #23 | 1502 | 1530 | 1361 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | at Ipswich | L QPR 13.1% · draw 18.3% | L ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Derby | W QPR 35.4% · draw 32.2% | L ✗ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | vs Swansea | W QPR 41.9% · draw 28.7% | L ✗ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | at Millwall | L QPR 28.5% · draw 31.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Bristol City | W QPR 42.1% · draw 30.8% | D ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Preston | L QPR 33.5% · draw 31.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Watford | L QPR 29.5% · draw 29.1% | W ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Portsmouth | L QPR 32.1% · draw 30.2% | W ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Leicester | L QPR 28.0% · draw 28.0% | W ✗ |
| Mar 11, 2026 | at Birmingham | L QPR 22.0% · draw 26.9% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Championship title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/qpr">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/qpr">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>