NBA 2025-2026: Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
Dallas Mavericks
Home Team
61.1%
113.5 pts
VS
New Orleans Pelicans
Away Team
38.9%
111.1 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Dallas Mavericks are predicted to edge out the New Orleans Pelicans with a 61.1% probability of victory. The expected final score is a close 113.5 to 111.1 in favor of the Mavericks. The expected starting lineup for Dallas includes Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, and Dereck Lively II. The Pelicans are set to start Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen.
Game Analysis
In their last three games, the Mavericks have shown a mixed bag of performances. They secured a thrilling 138-133 win against the Portland Trail Blazers but struggled against the New York Knicks and the Minnesota Timberwolves with consecutive losses. Key players like Cooper Flagg and Max Christie have been pivotal, with Flagg averaging over 15 points per game. The Mavericks' lineup features a solid mix of offensive talent, with Christie boasting the highest offensive rating of 115.6 among his teammates.
On the other hand, the Pelicans have faced a rough patch, with losses in all their recent matchups against the Denver Nuggets, Oklahoma City Thunder, and Golden State Warriors. Despite the defeats, Zion Williamson has been a consistent force, averaging over 21 points per game. The offensive prowess of Trey Murphy III, with an impressive 118.7 offensive rating, is a critical factor for the Pelicans, but their defensive ratings suggest vulnerabilities that opponents could exploit.
Final Prediction
The Mavericks are favored due to their slightly better recent performance and a more balanced offensive and defensive lineup. A key factor to watch will be the performance of Dallas's starting guards against New Orleans's defensive setup. A strong showing from Dallas's offensive players, particularly Christie and Flagg, could seal the game in their favor.