NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
32.5%
113.3 pts
VS

Minnesota Timberwolves

Away Team
67.5%
119.8 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Minnesota Timberwolves are predicted to win with a 67.5% probability, with a final score of 119.8 to the New Orleans Pelicans' 113.3. Expected to start for the Pelicans are Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen. The Timberwolves will likely field Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, and Rudy Gobert.

Game Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans are struggling, coming off a three-game losing streak with recent defeats to the Los Angeles Lakers, Golden State Warriors, and Memphis Grizzlies. Despite scoring 121 and 128 points against the Lakers and Grizzlies, their defense allowed 133 points in both games, highlighting a defensive vulnerability. The Pelicans' starting lineup features Zion Williamson, who is their most prolific scorer with an average of 22.1 points per game. However, their defensive ratings suggest they might struggle to contain the Timberwolves' offense. In contrast, the Minnesota Timberwolves are in better form, securing wins against the San Antonio Spurs and Boston Celtics, while only falling to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last three outings. Minnesota’s offensive strength is underscored by Anthony Edwards' impressive 28.9375 points per game. Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert bolster the team with solid performances, reflected in their high offensive ratings of 123.7 and 128.8, respectively. Rudy Gobert also anchors the defense with the best defensive rating of 112.2 among both starting fives.

Final Prediction

The Timberwolves have the advantage due to their recent strong performances and the superior defensive capabilities of their starting lineup. A key factor to watch will be how the Pelicans' defense attempts to counteract the Timberwolves' potent offense, particularly the scoring prowess of Anthony Edwards. The outcome will likely hinge on the Pelicans' ability to tighten their defense against a well-rounded Minnesota squad.