NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans
Home Team
56.8%
119.7 pts
VS
Dallas Mavericks
Away Team
43.2%
116.5 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The New Orleans Pelicans are predicted to edge out the Dallas Mavericks with a probability of 56.8%. The projected scoreline sees the Pelicans securing a 119.7 to 116.5 victory. Expected starters for New Orleans include Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen. Dallas counters with Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, and P.J. Washington.
Game Analysis
The New Orleans Pelicans come into this matchup on a high, riding a three-game winning streak with victories over the Indiana Pacers, Houston Rockets, and Chicago Bulls. Their impressive offensive outputs of 128, 133, and 114 points respectively underscore their scoring depth and ability to control the pace of the game. Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III are pivotal, both averaging over 21 points per game, and their offensive ratings of 117.1 and 124.4 suggest potent scoring threats.
Conversely, the Dallas Mavericks have had a mixed bag in their last three outings, managing only one win against the Detroit Pistons while falling to the Philadelphia 76ers and Utah Jazz. Anthony Davis stands out with an offensive rating of 116.6 and an average of 19.9 points per game, providing a solid anchor on both ends of the floor. However, inconsistencies in other parts of the lineup, particularly in defensive ratings, could be a concern against a high-scoring Pelicans team.
Final Prediction
The Pelicans' recent form and scoring capabilities give them a slight edge in this matchup. Their ability to consistently put up high-scoring games, coupled with a balanced starting five, suggests they could outpace the Mavericks. Key to the game's outcome will be how Dallas handles the dual threat of Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III. Fans should keep an eye on these matchups, as they could be decisive in determining the winner.