NBA 2025-2026: Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
Miami Heat
Home Team
58.5%
114.0 pts
VS
Phoenix Suns
Away Team
41.5%
113.0 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Miami Heat are predicted to narrowly edge out the Phoenix Suns with a probability of victory at 58.5%. The expected final score is a close 114.0 to 113.0 in favor of the Heat. Miami's anticipated starting five includes Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, and Bam Adebayo. Meanwhile, the Suns are expected to start with Collin Gillespie, Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks, Royce O'Neale, and Mark Williams.
Game Analysis
Recent performances suggest contrasting trends for the two teams. Miami is currently in a slump, having lost their last three games against the Thunder, Pacers, and Timberwolves. Their defense has struggled, allowing over 120 points in each of these losses. In contrast, the Suns are on a hot streak with three consecutive wins against the Wizards, Knicks, and Grizzlies, demonstrating a solid defensive effort by holding two of those opponents to under 100 points.
Analyzing the starting lineups, Miami's offensive ratings are solid across the board, with Norman Powell leading in average points at 23.76. However, their defensive ratings are slightly weaker, which could be a concern. On the other hand, the Suns boast a potent offense led by Devin Booker, who averages 25.28 points per game, and they possess a balanced roster with Mark Williams showcasing a remarkably high offensive rating of 138.4. These statistics suggest that while the Suns have a formidable offensive lineup, their defense could be vulnerable, particularly against Miami's capable scorers.
Final Prediction
The Miami Heat's predicted edge comes from their slightly better probability of winning, which could be attributed to their offensive capabilities. However, their recent defensive struggles mean they must tighten up on that end to secure the win. A crucial factor to watch is how Miami's defense responds to the Suns' potent offensive threats, which may ultimately decide the outcome of this tightly contested matchup.