NBA 2025-2026: Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Indiana Pacers

Home Team
51.1%
114.5 pts
VS

New Orleans Pelicans

Away Team
48.9%
112.7 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Indiana Pacers are predicted to win their upcoming game against the New Orleans Pelicans, with a probability of 51.1%. The predicted scoreline suggests a narrow victory with the Pacers scoring 114.5 points to the Pelicans' 112.7. The expected starting five for the Pacers includes Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, and Jay Huff. For the Pelicans, the expected starters are Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen.

Game Analysis

In their last three outings, the Indiana Pacers have shown resilience, securing two wins against formidable opponents like the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat, but facing a setback against the Toronto Raptors. This mix of outcomes highlights their potential to compete fiercely, especially with Pascal Siakam averaging 23.55 points and leading the offensive charge. However, their defensive ratings indicate room for improvement, with most starters showing a rating above 115, which could be a concern against a potent Pelicans offense. On the other hand, the New Orleans Pelicans have been on a bit of a rollercoaster with one win against the Brooklyn Nets sandwiched between losses to the Denver Nuggets and Orlando Magic. Zion Williamson continues to be a powerhouse, averaging 22.44 points, supported by Trey Murphy III's impressive offensive rating of 124.9. The Pelicans' offensive firepower is significant, yet their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly with high defensive ratings across the starting lineup, might be exploited by the Pacers.

Final Prediction

The Indiana Pacers have a slight edge due to their recent strong performances and the offensive leadership of Pascal Siakam. A key factor to watch will be how well each team's defense holds up against the other's offensive weapons, potentially deciding the game's outcome. With both teams having dynamic scorers, the defensive strategies deployed could make all the difference in this closely contested matchup.