Bradford

League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1565 · #4 League One 5W-2D-2L · 17 pts In line Updated Oct 10, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #6 of 24 71.9 expected pts · currently 17 pts after 9 matches

League title 6.6%
Promotion 23.3%
Automatic promotion 15.0%
Promotion playoffs 36.1%
Relegation 0.3%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Bradford?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Bradford's results were 3.2% easier to call than the League One average. How this is measured.

MarketBradfordLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 48.8% 47.2%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 43.9% 53.2%
Both teams to score 58.5% 54.4%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 League One #4 1559 1572 1564
2025-26 League One #10 1518 1621 1529
2024-25 League Two #4 1578 1662 1563
2023-24 League Two #6 1542 1577 1559
2022-23 League Two #5 1475 1625 1586
2021-22 League Two #12 1445 1531 1498
2020-21 League Two #22 1479 1612 1423
2019-20 League Two #14 1542 1605 1473
2018-19 League One #22 1489 1489 1369
2017-18 League One #19 1597 1643 1443
2016-17 League One #4 1588 1657 1613
2015-16 League One #5 1492 1618 1618
2014-15 League One #6 1502 1550 1519
2013-14 League One #12 1408 1556 1485
2012-13 League Two #5 1465 1572 1560
2011-12 League Two #15 1404 1521 1477
2010-11 League Two #20 1493 1518 1408
2009-10 League Two #8 1453 1533 1525
2008-09 League Two #12 1508 1581 1480
2007-08 League Two #11 1496 1533 1493
2006-07 League One #22 1509 1591 1373
2005-06 League One #8 1533 1533 1531

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 10, 2026 vs Leyton Orient W Bradford 56.2% · draw 26.7% D ✗
Oct 03, 2026 at Reading L Bradford 22.4% · draw 28.9% D ✗
Sep 19, 2026 at Luton L Bradford 27.3% · draw 29.8% W ✗
Sep 12, 2026 at Notts County L Bradford 32.0% · draw 31.6% W ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit: 

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/bradford">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in): 

<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/league_one"
        width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
        title="League One title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/bradford">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>
Preview widget All widgets