Bradford
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #4 of 24 in League One 77 pts · 22W–11D–13L · GD +7
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Bradford?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Bradford's results were 3.2% easier to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Bradford | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.8% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 43.9% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | League One | #10 | 1518 | 1621 | 1529 |
| 2024-25 | League Two | #4 | 1578 | 1662 | 1563 |
| 2023-24 | League Two | #6 | 1542 | 1577 | 1559 |
| 2022-23 | League Two | #5 | 1475 | 1625 | 1586 |
| 2021-22 | League Two | #12 | 1445 | 1531 | 1498 |
| 2020-21 | League Two | #22 | 1479 | 1612 | 1423 |
| 2019-20 | League Two | #14 | 1542 | 1605 | 1473 |
| 2018-19 | League One | #22 | 1489 | 1489 | 1369 |
| 2017-18 | League One | #19 | 1597 | 1643 | 1443 |
| 2016-17 | League One | #4 | 1588 | 1657 | 1613 |
| 2015-16 | League One | #5 | 1492 | 1618 | 1618 |
| 2014-15 | League One | #6 | 1502 | 1550 | 1519 |
| 2013-14 | League One | #12 | 1408 | 1556 | 1485 |
| 2012-13 | League Two | #5 | 1465 | 1572 | 1560 |
| 2011-12 | League Two | #15 | 1404 | 1521 | 1477 |
| 2010-11 | League Two | #20 | 1493 | 1518 | 1408 |
| 2009-10 | League Two | #8 | 1453 | 1533 | 1525 |
| 2008-09 | League Two | #12 | 1508 | 1581 | 1480 |
| 2007-08 | League Two | #11 | 1496 | 1533 | 1493 |
| 2006-07 | League One | #22 | 1509 | 1591 | 1373 |
| 2005-06 | League One | #8 | 1533 | 1533 | 1531 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | at Exeter | W Bradford 45.9% · draw 27.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Bolton | W Bradford 35.3% · draw 31.2% | D ✗ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | vs Plymouth | W Bradford 39.3% · draw 31.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | at Barnsley | W Bradford 35.9% · draw 30.7% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Stevenage | W Bradford 44.2% · draw 29.8% | L ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Wycombe | L Bradford 32.2% · draw 31.4% | W ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Northampton | W Bradford 77.4% · draw 14.2% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Burton | W Bradford 39.4% · draw 30.1% | L ✗ |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Mansfield | W Bradford 51.2% · draw 27.2% | D ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Wigan | W Bradford 41.5% · draw 29.5% | L ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/bradford">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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