Huddersfield

League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1559 · #5 League One 4W-4D-1L · 16 pts In line Updated Oct 10, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #5 of 24 71.8 expected pts · currently 16 pts after 9 matches

League title 7.1%
Promotion 24.5%
Automatic promotion 15.6%
Promotion playoffs 36.3%
Relegation 0.3%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Huddersfield?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Huddersfield's results were 1.3% harder to call than the League One average. How this is measured.

MarketHuddersfieldLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 48.8% 47.2%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 43.9% 53.2%
Both teams to score 73.2% 54.4%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 League One #5 1517 1562 1559
2025-26 League One #11 1522 1567 1526
2024-25 League One #22 1589 1652 1364
2023-24 Championship #23 1514 1518 1391
2022-23 Championship #8 1593 1593 1562
2021-22 Championship #3 1441 1645 1645
2020-21 Championship #20 1446 1518 1425
2019-20 Championship #18 1466 1487 1448
2018-19 Premier League #20 1466 1466 1248
2017-18 Premier League #18 1534 1548 1384
2016-17 Championship #15 1480 1648 1486
2015-16 Championship #19 1458 1503 1444
2014-15 Championship #17 1416 1509 1469
2013-14 Championship #18 1476 1530 1429
2012-13 Championship #16 1486 1590 1492
2011-12 League One #6 1671 1736 1573
2010-11 League One #2 1597 1736 1726
2009-10 League One #6 1563 1638 1585
2008-09 League One #6 1538 1583 1576
2007-08 League One #8 1551 1553 1553
2006-07 League One #12 1477 1572 1505
2005-06 League One #14 1482 1620 1492

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 10, 2026 vs Sheffield Wednesday W Huddersfield 54.7% · draw 26.6% D ✗
Oct 03, 2026 at Burton W Huddersfield 44.2% · draw 28.1% W ✓
Sep 19, 2026 at Bromley W Huddersfield 53.3% · draw 24.0% L ✗
Sep 12, 2026 at Mansfield W Huddersfield 42.4% · draw 28.5% D ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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