Leyton Orient
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #20 of 24 in League One 52 pts · 14W–10D–22L · GD -12
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Leyton Orient?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Leyton Orient's results were 0.4% harder to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Leyton Orient | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 43.9% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 61.0% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | League One | #19 | 1478 | 1525 | 1420 |
| 2024-25 | League One | #5 | 1458 | 1614 | 1607 |
| 2023-24 | League One | #14 | 1430 | 1584 | 1490 |
| 2022-23 | League Two | #2 | 1504 | 1666 | 1628 |
| 2021-22 | League Two | #14 | 1466 | 1573 | 1483 |
| 2020-21 | League Two | #17 | 1506 | 1556 | 1450 |
| 2019-20 | League Two | #15 | 1366 | 1471 | 1471 |
| 2016-17 | League Two | #24 | 1506 | 1517 | 1292 |
| 2015-16 | League Two | #13 | 1612 | 1666 | 1511 |
| 2014-15 | League One | #20 | 1497 | 1536 | 1429 |
| 2013-14 | League One | #7 | 1576 | 1682 | 1544 |
| 2012-13 | League One | #5 | 1396 | 1565 | 1559 |
| 2011-12 | League One | #22 | 1522 | 1573 | 1388 |
| 2010-11 | League One | #7 | 1415 | 1637 | 1555 |
| 2009-10 | League One | #19 | 1528 | 1528 | 1438 |
| 2008-09 | League One | #13 | 1453 | 1558 | 1498 |
| 2007-08 | League One | #20 | 1492 | 1576 | 1411 |
| 2006-07 | League One | #19 | 1476 | 1530 | 1441 |
| 2005-06 | League Two | #3 | 1518 | 1626 | 1626 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | vs Burton | W Leyton Orient 35.0% · draw 31.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Blackpool | L Leyton Orient 26.8% · draw 27.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Rotherham | W Leyton Orient 50.3% · draw 26.7% | L ✗ |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs Mansfield | W Leyton Orient 35.4% · draw 31.6% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Lincoln | L Leyton Orient 9.3% · draw 16.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Huddersfield | L Leyton Orient 34.5% · draw 31.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | at Wigan | L Leyton Orient 27.8% · draw 30.8% | D ✗ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | at Exeter | W Leyton Orient 35.1% · draw 31.1% | D ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Wycombe | L Leyton Orient 34.2% · draw 30.8% | W ✗ |
| Mar 17, 2026 | at AFC Wimbledon | L Leyton Orient 27.4% · draw 30.2% | W ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/leyton-orient">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/leyton-orient">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>