Wycombe
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #11 of 24 in League One 63 pts · 17W–12D–17L · GD +11
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Wycombe?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Wycombe's results were 3.3% easier to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Wycombe | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.8% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | League One | #13 | 1482 | 1585 | 1479 |
| 2024-25 | League One | #7 | 1539 | 1679 | 1551 |
| 2023-24 | League One | #5 | 1458 | 1578 | 1578 |
| 2022-23 | League One | #12 | 1615 | 1672 | 1493 |
| 2021-22 | League One | #3 | 1513 | 1633 | 1633 |
| 2020-21 | Championship | #12 | 1461 | 1494 | 1494 |
| 2019-20 | League One | #10 | 1462 | 1644 | 1495 |
| 2018-19 | League One | #20 | 1430 | 1559 | 1404 |
| 2017-18 | League Two | #3 | 1515 | 1652 | 1606 |
| 2016-17 | League Two | #7 | 1434 | 1581 | 1530 |
| 2015-16 | League Two | #17 | 1579 | 1626 | 1448 |
| 2014-15 | League Two | #5 | 1477 | 1639 | 1580 |
| 2013-14 | League Two | #20 | 1500 | 1540 | 1429 |
| 2012-13 | League Two | #17 | 1615 | 1615 | 1480 |
| 2011-12 | League One | #21 | 1480 | 1517 | 1411 |
| 2010-11 | League Two | #2 | 1539 | 1621 | 1614 |
| 2009-10 | League One | #13 | 1482 | 1482 | 1476 |
| 2008-09 | League Two | #7 | 1557 | 1664 | 1517 |
| 2007-08 | League Two | #6 | 1402 | 1604 | 1581 |
| 2006-07 | League Two | #21 | 1475 | 1587 | 1410 |
| 2005-06 | League Two | #14 | 1498 | 1658 | 1473 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | vs Rotherham | W Wycombe 56.1% · draw 24.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Lincoln | L Wycombe 13.3% · draw 20.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Blackpool | W Wycombe 53.8% · draw 26.3% | L ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Huddersfield | L Wycombe 25.9% · draw 30.3% | D ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Bradford | W Wycombe 36.4% · draw 31.4% | L ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Stockport | L Wycombe 27.2% · draw 31.0% | L ✓ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Port Vale | W Wycombe 63.1% · draw 22.7% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Leyton Orient | W Wycombe 35.1% · draw 30.8% | L ✗ |
| Mar 17, 2026 | at Cardiff | L Wycombe 18.0% · draw 24.7% | W ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Luton | W Wycombe 43.7% · draw 29.1% | L ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/wycombe">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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