Bromley

League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1442 · #18 League One 2W-2D-4L · 8 pts In line Updated Oct 10, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #21 of 24 52.5 expected pts · currently 8 pts after 8 matches

League title 0.0%
Promotion 0.2%
Automatic promotion 0.0%
Promotion playoffs 0.9%
Relegation 40.1%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Bromley?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Bromley's results were 8.2% easier to call than the League Two average. How this is measured.

MarketBromleyLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 58.5% 49.9%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 46.3% 52.1%
Both teams to score 46.3% 50.9%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 League One #18 1523 1523 1442
2025-26 League Two #5 1502 1696 1611
2024-25 League Two #7 1549 1565 1538

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 10, 2026 at Mansfield L Bromley 19.4% · draw 24.1% L ✓
Sep 19, 2026 vs Huddersfield L Bromley 22.6% · draw 24.0% W ✗
Sep 12, 2026 at Blackpool L Bromley 24.8% · draw 24.3% D ✗

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