Peterboro
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #23 of 24 51.2 expected pts · currently 4 pts after 4 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #18 of 24 in League One 53 pts · 15W-8D-23L · GD -4
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Peterboro?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Peterboro's results were 2.8% easier to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Peterboro | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 53.7% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 65.8% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | League One | #22 | 1381 | 1406 | 1406 |
| 2025-26 | League One | #21 | 1482 | 1557 | 1385 |
| 2024-25 | League One | #19 | 1500 | 1553 | 1418 |
| 2023-24 | League One | #9 | 1608 | 1695 | 1538 |
| 2022-23 | League One | #4 | 1616 | 1634 | 1608 |
| 2021-22 | Championship | #21 | 1487 | 1499 | 1404 |
| 2020-21 | League One | #3 | 1558 | 1666 | 1624 |
| 2019-20 | League One | #3 | 1483 | 1617 | 1617 |
| 2018-19 | League One | #9 | 1492 | 1608 | 1524 |
| 2017-18 | League One | #18 | 1492 | 1578 | 1465 |
| 2016-17 | League One | #14 | 1511 | 1598 | 1470 |
| 2015-16 | League One | #13 | 1462 | 1574 | 1472 |
| 2014-15 | League One | #12 | 1536 | 1580 | 1482 |
| 2013-14 | League One | #8 | 1611 | 1696 | 1525 |
| 2012-13 | Championship | #9 | 1397 | 1546 | 1512 |
| 2011-12 | Championship | #21 | 1412 | 1468 | 1386 |
| 2010-11 | League One | #4 | 1631 | 1663 | 1624 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #24 | 1479 | 1479 | 1363 |
| 2008-09 | League One | #3 | 1488 | 1685 | 1653 |
| 2007-08 | League Two | #2 | 1541 | 1694 | 1643 |
| 2006-07 | League Two | #8 | 1464 | 1580 | 1513 |
| 2005-06 | League Two | #21 | 1471 | 1588 | 1426 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | vs Doncaster | L Peterboro 33.1% · draw 30.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 28, 2026 | vs Mansfield | W Peterboro 35.2% · draw 31.2% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Stockport | L Peterboro 14.4% · draw 20.6% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Burton | W Peterboro 35.1% · draw 31.2% | D ✗ |
| Apr 16, 2026 | vs Port Vale | W Peterboro 37.4% · draw 29.6% | L ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Blackpool | L Peterboro 24.7% · draw 28.0% | L ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Cardiff | L Peterboro 22.6% · draw 25.1% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Luton | L Peterboro 20.7% · draw 26.1% | L ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at AFC Wimbledon | L Peterboro 31.5% · draw 30.7% | D ✗ |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Rotherham | W Peterboro 41.4% · draw 30.0% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/peterboro">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/peterboro">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>