Wigan
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #16 of 24 in League One 56 pts · 14W–14D–18L · GD -9
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Wigan?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Wigan's results were 0.2% harder to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Wigan | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | League One | #17 | 1520 | 1530 | 1459 |
| 2024-25 | League One | #11 | 1527 | 1551 | 1487 |
| 2023-24 | League One | #6 | 1622 | 1656 | 1577 |
| 2022-23 | Championship | #20 | 1563 | 1597 | 1415 |
| 2021-22 | League One | #4 | 1457 | 1677 | 1621 |
| 2020-21 | League One | #17 | 1610 | 1616 | 1462 |
| 2019-20 | Championship | #6 | 1519 | 1592 | 1584 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #14 | 1442 | 1491 | 1491 |
| 2017-18 | League One | #2 | 1625 | 1718 | 1686 |
| 2016-17 | Championship | #23 | 1390 | 1446 | 1391 |
| 2015-16 | League One | #3 | 1478 | 1699 | 1627 |
| 2014-15 | Championship | #24 | 1526 | 1526 | 1378 |
| 2013-14 | Championship | #12 | 1534 | 1659 | 1534 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | at Stevenage | L Wigan 32.1% · draw 31.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs AFC Wimbledon | W Wigan 62.1% · draw 22.0% | L ✗ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Port Vale | W Wigan 41.0% · draw 30.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs Rotherham | W Wigan 53.4% · draw 25.3% | W ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Mansfield | W Wigan 37.4% · draw 31.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Northampton | W Wigan 39.0% · draw 29.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | vs Leyton Orient | W Wigan 41.4% · draw 30.8% | D ✗ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | at Reading | L Wigan 33.7% · draw 30.8% | L ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Exeter | W Wigan 50.8% · draw 28.1% | W ✓ |
| Mar 17, 2026 | at Barnsley | L Wigan 29.9% · draw 28.6% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/wigan">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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