Stockport
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #4 of 24 72.2 expected pts · currently 16 pts after 9 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #3 of 24 in League One 77 pts · 22W-11D-13L · GD +13
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Stockport?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Stockport's results were 1.8% harder to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Stockport | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 43.9% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | League One | #7 | 1559 | 1559 | 1551 |
| 2025-26 | League One | #9 | 1520 | 1601 | 1538 |
| 2024-25 | League One | #3 | 1314 | 1675 | 1675 |
| 2023-24 | League Two | #1 | 1601 | 1720 | 1672 |
| 2022-23 | League Two | #1 | 1376 | 1686 | 1674 |
| 2010-11 | League Two | #22 | 1603 | 1603 | 1378 |
| 2009-10 | League One | #24 | 1434 | 1444 | 1224 |
| 2008-09 | League One | #20 | 1504 | 1586 | 1412 |
| 2007-08 | League Two | #3 | 1525 | 1697 | 1630 |
| 2006-07 | League Two | #9 | 1456 | 1659 | 1510 |
| 2005-06 | League Two | #12 | 1498 | 1521 | 1484 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/stockport">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/league_one"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="League One title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/stockport">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>