Stockport
League One · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #3 of 24 in League One 77 pts · 22W–11D–13L · GD +13
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full League One simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Stockport?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Stockport's results were 1.8% harder to call than the League One average. How this is measured.
| Market | Stockport | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 43.9% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 53.2% |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% | 54.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | League One | #9 | 1520 | 1601 | 1538 |
| 2024-25 | League One | #3 | 1314 | 1675 | 1675 |
| 2023-24 | League Two | #1 | 1601 | 1720 | 1672 |
| 2022-23 | League Two | #1 | 1376 | 1686 | 1674 |
| 2010-11 | League Two | #22 | 1603 | 1603 | 1378 |
| 2009-10 | League One | #24 | 1434 | 1444 | 1224 |
| 2008-09 | League One | #20 | 1504 | 1586 | 1412 |
| 2007-08 | League Two | #3 | 1525 | 1697 | 1630 |
| 2006-07 | League Two | #9 | 1456 | 1659 | 1510 |
| 2005-06 | League Two | #12 | 1498 | 1521 | 1484 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | at Barnsley | W Stockport 43.6% · draw 28.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 28, 2026 | vs Port Vale | W Stockport 75.2% · draw 15.4% | L ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Peterboro | W Stockport 65.0% · draw 20.6% | W ✓ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | vs Mansfield | W Stockport 50.9% · draw 27.2% | L ✗ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | at Exeter | W Stockport 45.8% · draw 27.6% | D ✗ |
| Apr 15, 2026 | at AFC Wimbledon | W Stockport 42.0% · draw 28.6% | W ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Bolton | L Stockport 22.7% · draw 27.8% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Wycombe | W Stockport 41.8% · draw 31.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs AFC Wimbledon | W Stockport 52.9% · draw 26.3% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Luton | L Stockport 29.4% · draw 30.6% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The League One title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/stockport">League One title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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