Sheffield Wednesday
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #24 of 24 in Championship 18 pts · 2W–12D–32L · GD -60
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sheffield Wednesday?
On script 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sheffield Wednesday's results were 22.4% easier to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sheffield Wednesday | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 68.3% | 45.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% | 51.0% |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% | 52.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Championship | #24 | 1482 | 1482 | 1264 |
| 2024-25 | Championship | #18 | 1567 | 1567 | 1466 |
| 2023-24 | Championship | #6 | 1408 | 1567 | 1567 |
| 2022-23 | League One | #3 | 1623 | 1769 | 1680 |
| 2021-22 | League One | #2 | 1653 | 1690 | 1660 |
| 2020-21 | Championship | #21 | 1450 | 1487 | 1405 |
| 2019-20 | Championship | #22 | 1553 | 1601 | 1380 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #8 | 1508 | 1578 | 1530 |
| 2017-18 | Championship | #9 | 1553 | 1608 | 1546 |
| 2016-17 | Championship | #5 | 1563 | 1640 | 1600 |
| 2015-16 | Championship | #6 | 1507 | 1618 | 1560 |
| 2014-15 | Championship | #13 | 1497 | 1546 | 1494 |
| 2013-14 | Championship | #15 | 1494 | 1539 | 1449 |
| 2012-13 | Championship | #10 | 1443 | 1544 | 1509 |
| 2011-12 | League One | #1 | 1470 | 1691 | 1691 |
| 2010-11 | League One | #14 | 1520 | 1573 | 1459 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #20 | 1505 | 1529 | 1424 |
| 2008-09 | Championship | #14 | 1536 | 1559 | 1510 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #8 | 1552 | 1552 | 1523 |
| 2006-07 | Championship | #3 | 1528 | 1614 | 1600 |
| 2005-06 | Championship | #9 | 1502 | 1526 | 1526 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | vs West Brom | L Sheffield Wednesday 15.8% · draw 16.8% | W ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Oxford | L Sheffield Wednesday 4.8% · draw 9.7% | L ✓ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | at Middlesbrough | L Sheffield Wednesday 1.9% · draw 5.3% | L ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Charlton | L Sheffield Wednesday 23.5% · draw 25.1% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Coventry | L Sheffield Wednesday 1.2% · draw 3.6% | D ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Leicester | L Sheffield Wednesday 22.2% · draw 23.2% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Stoke | L Sheffield Wednesday 15.0% · draw 18.4% | L ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Hull | L Sheffield Wednesday 14.3% · draw 17.9% | L ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Ipswich | L Sheffield Wednesday 11.6% · draw 14.4% | L ✓ |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Watford | L Sheffield Wednesday 18.8% · draw 19.9% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Championship title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sheffield-wednesday">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sheffield-wednesday">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>