Tenerife
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #15 of 22 53.7 expected pts · currently 12 pts after 9 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Tenerife?
Sample still small 2026-27 · 4 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Tenerife's results were 1.8% harder to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Tenerife | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 50.0% | 61.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 41.0% |
| Both teams to score | 25.0% | 48.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Segunda División | #16 | 1487 | 1511 | 1473 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #19 | 1485 | 1501 | 1428 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #11 | 1561 | 1600 | 1509 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #8 | 1505 | 1562 | 1553 |
| 2021-22 | Segunda División | #10 | 1535 | 1636 | 1523 |
| 2020-21 | Segunda División | #14 | 1550 | 1551 | 1508 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #11 | 1486 | 1609 | 1534 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #13 | 1518 | 1520 | 1510 |
| 2017-18 | Segunda División | #8 | 1518 | 1565 | 1520 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/tenerife">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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