NBA 2025-2026: San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction
San Antonio Spurs
Home Team
64.2%
114.4 pts
VS
Houston Rockets
Away Team
35.8%
110.8 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The San Antonio Spurs are predicted to emerge victorious against the Houston Rockets with a 64.2% probability, with a projected score of 114.4 to 110.8. The expected starting five for the Spurs includes Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama. For the Rockets, the lineup features Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, and Alperen Şengün.
Game Analysis
Over the last three games, the San Antonio Spurs have struggled, securing only one win against the Miami Heat, with a score of 107-101, but falling to both the Los Angeles Lakers and the Phoenix Suns in close contests. Despite these losses, the Spurs' roster, highlighted by Victor Wembanyama's impressive average of 25.57 points, remains formidable. Stephon Castle also contributes significantly with an offensive rating of 116.3 and an average of 19.43 points per game.
Conversely, the Houston Rockets are riding a wave of success, having won their last three matches against the Memphis Grizzlies, Dallas Mavericks, and Boston Celtics. This streak showcases their offensive prowess, especially with Kevin Durant and Alperen Şengün averaging 23.11 and 22.43 points, respectively. Their offensive ratings bolster this advantage, with Josh Okogie leading with a remarkable 153.3. However, defensive lapses, evidenced by their average defensive ratings hovering above 111, could be an area of concern.
Final Prediction
The Spurs are poised to clinch this matchup due to their balanced offensive and defensive capabilities, particularly with Wembanyama's stellar dual contributions. A key factor to watch will be how the Spurs' defense curtails the Rockets' high-powered offensive lineup, potentially determining the game's outcome.