NBA 2025-2026: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

San Antonio Spurs

Home Team
70.2%
119.8 pts
VS

Golden State Warriors

Away Team
29.8%
108.6 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The San Antonio Spurs are predicted to win against the Golden State Warriors with a 70.2% probability. The anticipated final score is Spurs 119.8 to Warriors 108.6. The Spurs' expected starting five comprises De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama. The Warriors will likely start with Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, and Quinten Post.

Game Analysis

The San Antonio Spurs are riding high on a three-game winning streak, having recently secured victories against the Chicago Bulls, New Orleans Pelicans, and Houston Rockets. Notably, the Spurs have consistently scored over 120 points in these games, showcasing their offensive prowess. Key performances have come from Victor Wembanyama, who averages 25.7 points per game, supported by De'Aaron Fox with an average of 22.5 points. The Spurs' offensive efficiency is further highlighted by Harrison Barnes' remarkable offensive rating of 134.8. Conversely, the Golden State Warriors have struggled in their recent outings, losing two of their last three games. They faltered against the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets, conceding significant points in both losses. Despite these setbacks, Stephen Curry remains a consistent force, averaging 25 points per game, while Jimmy Butler contributes with an average of 18.2 points. However, the Warriors' defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with both Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga having defensive ratings over 113.

Final Prediction

The Spurs' recent form and superior offensive ratings provide them with a decisive edge in this matchup. Their ability to consistently score high and their balanced starting lineup are key factors favoring their victory. A critical element to watch during the game will be the performance of Victor Wembanyama, whose scoring ability and defensive strength could tip the scales in San Antonio's favor.