NBA 2025-2026: Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers
Home Team
68.4%
121.3 pts
VS
New Orleans Pelicans
Away Team
31.6%
114.1 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Cleveland Cavaliers are predicted to emerge victorious against the New Orleans Pelicans with a 68.4% probability. The expected scoreline suggests a competitive matchup, with Cleveland projected to score 121.3 points compared to New Orleans' 114.1. The Cavaliers are expected to start Darius Garland, Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, and Jarrett Allen, while the Pelicans will likely field Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen.
Game Analysis
Recent performances reveal contrasting trends for both teams. The Cleveland Cavaliers have struggled, securing just one win in their last three outings, including a high-scoring 139-132 win against the Charlotte Hornets. Prior to that, they suffered back-to-back defeats to the Chicago Bulls. In contrast, the New Orleans Pelicans are on an impressive three-game winning streak, triumphing over the Dallas Mavericks, Indiana Pacers, and Houston Rockets, showcasing their ability to outscore opponents consistently.
Analyzing the starting five, Cleveland's Donovan Mitchell stands out with an impressive offensive rating of 122.7 and an average of 30.70 points per game, making him a key offensive weapon. Jarrett Allen provides a solid defensive presence with a defensive rating of 113.4. On the Pelicans' side, Zion Williamson leads with an average of 21.5 points and an offensive rating of 119.6, supported by Trey Murphy III's 20.82 points per game. However, the Pelicans seem vulnerable defensively, with most starters having defensive ratings above 116, which could be a potential weakness against the Cavaliers' strong offense.
Final Prediction
The Cleveland Cavaliers have an edge due to their superior offensive capabilities, spearheaded by Donovan Mitchell. The Pelicans' recent form is noteworthy, but their defensive frailties might be exploited by Cleveland's potent attack. A key factor to watch will be how effectively the Pelicans can contain Mitchell and limit his scoring opportunities, which could be pivotal in determining the game's outcome.