NBA 2025-2026: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers
Home Team
49.7%
114.4 pts
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder
Away Team
50.3%
114.3 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to edge out the Cleveland Cavaliers with a win probability of 50.3%, and a nail-biting predicted score of 114.4 to 114.3. The Cavaliers are expected to start Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, Evan Mobley, and Jarrett Allen. For the Thunder, the starting lineup should feature Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, and Chet Holmgren.
Game Analysis
Both teams come into this matchup with varied recent performances. The Cleveland Cavaliers have shown resilience with back-to-back victories over the Philadelphia 76ers, showcasing a strong offensive output, especially in their 133-107 win. However, they struggled against the Utah Jazz, losing 112-123, which highlights occasional defensive lapses. Their starting lineup, led by Donovan Mitchell’s impressive 29.23 average points, combines solid offensive ratings with Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley anchoring the defense.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have rebounded well after a narrow loss to the Miami Heat, securing victories against the Houston Rockets and the San Antonio Spurs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been instrumental, averaging 31.80 points with an outstanding offensive rating of 136.4. Chet Holmgren's defensive prowess, with a rating of 103.4, will be crucial in countering the Cavaliers' offensive threats. The Thunder's balanced attack and solid defense could be pivotal in the game's outcome.
Final Prediction
The Thunder have a slight edge due to their balanced team performance and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring ability, combined with Chet Holmgren's defensive impact. A key factor to watch will be how well the Thunder's defense can contain Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers' offense, potentially deciding the game's fate.