NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder

Home Team
85.3%
120.4 pts
VS

New Orleans Pelicans

Away Team
14.7%
104.9 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to triumph over the New Orleans Pelicans with an 85.3% probability, with a projected scoreline of 120.4 to 104.9. The Thunder's expected starting five includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, and Chet Holmgren. The Pelicans are expected to start with Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen.

Game Analysis

In recent games, the Oklahoma City Thunder have experienced a mixed bag of results, with a recent win against the Milwaukee Bucks, 122-102, showcasing their potential. However, they faced narrow defeats against the Toronto Raptors and Indiana Pacers, indicating a need for consistent performance. The Thunder's standout player, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, brings an impressive offensive rating of 137.7 and an average of 32.1 points per game, making him a crucial asset in their offensive strategy. Contrastingly, the New Orleans Pelicans have shown resilience with wins over the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies but fell short against the Detroit Pistons. With Trey Murphy III and Zion Williamson both averaging over 22 points per game, the Pelicans possess a potent offensive lineup. However, their defensive ratings, particularly those of Herbert Jones and Derik Queen, indicate potential vulnerabilities that the Thunder might exploit.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder's predicted victory stems from their superior offensive ratings, particularly through Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and an overall balanced lineup. Watching how the Thunder capitalize on the Pelicans' defensive lapses will be crucial, as it could define the flow of the game. This matchup promises to be an exciting display of young talent and strategic play, with the Thunder holding a slight edge in potential execution.