NBA 2025-2026: Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Atlanta Hawks

Home Team
46.7%
117.4 pts
VS

San Antonio Spurs

Away Team
53.3%
119.1 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The San Antonio Spurs are predicted to edge out the Atlanta Hawks with a probability of 53.3%, finishing with a projected score of 119.1 to the Hawks’ 117.4. The anticipated starting five for the Hawks includes Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, and Onyeka Okongwu. The Spurs are expected to start with De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Luke Kornet.

Game Analysis

Both teams have shown contrasting forms over their last three games. The Atlanta Hawks have had a mixed bag of results with one win against the Philadelphia 76ers and two losses against the Charlotte Hornets and Detroit Pistons. This inconsistency could be a concern for them as they face a Spurs team that has been on a three-game winning streak, defeating the Washington Wizards, Oklahoma City Thunder, and Los Angeles Lakers. Analyzing the average offensive and defensive ratings for the expected starters, the Hawks have dynamic scorers in Jalen Johnson who boasts a high offensive rating of 123.1 and Nickeil Alexander-Walker who averages over 20 points. However, their defensive performance, with some players sporting ratings above 114, could be exploited by the Spurs. On the other side, the Spurs feature a balanced attack led by De'Aaron Fox and Harrison Barnes, both having solid offensive ratings and contributing significantly in points. Luke Kornet's exceptional offensive rating of 147.5 stands out, although his scoring average is relatively low, indicating his role in efficient play rather than volume scoring.

Final Prediction

The Spurs’ recent form and balanced starting lineup give them a slight edge in this matchup. One key factor to watch will be how the Spurs' balanced offense can capitalize on the Hawks’ defensive lapses. If the Spurs maintain their defensive solidity, they stand a good chance of extending their winning streak.