NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
Home Team
57.8%
115.8 pts
VS
San Antonio Spurs
Away Team
42.2%
111.2 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored to win their upcoming matchup against the San Antonio Spurs, with a predicted probability of 57.8%. The expected scoreline is 115.8 for the Thunder and 111.2 for the Spurs. The Thunder's starting lineup is set to feature Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, and Chet Holmgren. Meanwhile, the Spurs plan to start with De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama.
Game Analysis
Both teams have shown mixed results in their recent outings. The Oklahoma City Thunder are currently on a hot streak, having won their last three games against the Miami Heat, Memphis Grizzlies, and Utah Jazz. Their victories have been characterized by strong offensive performances, notably scoring over 120 points in two of those games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the charge with an impressive offensive rating of 137.2 and an average of 31.87 points per game, supported by Chet Holmgren's solid defensive presence and offensive contributions.
The San Antonio Spurs have experienced a more turbulent stretch, splitting their last three games with two wins against the Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers, and a close loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Victor Wembanyama has been a standout, boasting a defensive rating of 100.2 and averaging 24.28 points per game, making him a key player to watch. The Spurs' starting five presents a balanced mix of offensive prowess and defensive capabilities, which could challenge the Thunder's momentum.
Final Prediction
The Thunder's recent winning streak and strong offensive performances give them the edge in this matchup. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren leading their charge, the Thunder's ability to score efficiently and defend effectively will be crucial. A key factor to watch will be the matchup between Holmgren and Wembanyama, as their defensive skills could play a pivotal role in determining the game's outcome.